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Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Live Stream & Tips - Alcaraz to Reach French Open Semi-Final at Stake.com

By Alex Waite

03 Jun 2025

Alex Waite 03 Jun 2025

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Carlos Alcaraz can beat Tommy Paul in over 3.5 sets in the French Open quarter-final.
Alcaraz has won 10 consecutive clay-court matches and is the big favourite here.
Live stream the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz match at Stake.com.
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Carlos Alcaraz looks in excellent shape on clay in the 2025 season and can defeat American Tommy Paul at the French Open.

The Spanish clay-court specialist has dropped a few sets recently and an Alcaraz win with over 3.5 sets is the best pick.

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Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Predictions

Paul had two marathon matches to start his 2025 French Open campaign. He needed five sets to get past Márton Fucsovics and Karen Khachanov in the first two rounds.

The American found better rhythm in the fourth round and beat Alexei Popyrin in straight sets.

Paul has had difficulty progressing past the ATP’s best-ranked players on clay this season. He lost against Jannik Sinner in the Italian Open semi-final and was thrashed 6-2, 6-2 by world number five Jack Draper at the Madrid Open.

Alcaraz has dominated on clay in 2025, winning the Monte-Carlo Masters and the Italian Open and reaching the Barcelona Open final.

Since losing to Holger Rune in Barcelona, Alcaraz has put together a 10-match winning streak. Four of those victories came at the 2025 French Open.

The Spanish player comfortably won his first-round match in straight sets. However, Alcaraz has won in exactly four sets in his following three matches, beating Fábián Marozsán, Damir Džumhur and Ben Shelton.

Alcaraz has a 4-2 advantage against Paul in career head-to-heads and the world number two has won the last three encounters.

Live Stream the 2025 French Open

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To watch Paul vs Alcaraz and other quarter-final matches from Roland Garros, follow these steps.

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Verdict

Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz

Tommy Paul has struggled to navigate recent matches against higher-ranked opponents on clay. Alcaraz looks unstoppable in current form and can keep his winning streak going at the French Open.

Carlos Alcaraz Win

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Over 3.5 Sets

Total Sets

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Carlos Alcaraz Win 3-1

Correct Score

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